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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

S T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

29%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 13. · Darmstadt 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	21	12	6	3	+21	42
2	Bochum	22	13	3	6	+17	42
3	Holstein Kiel	21	12	6	3	+16	42
4	Greuther Furth	21	11	6	4	+17	39
5	Karlsruhe	21	11	3	7	+7	36
6	Hannover	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	9	6	6	+2	33
8	Erzgebirge Aue	22	9	5	8	+1	32
9	Heidenheim	20	8	5	7	+2	29
10	Paderborn	20	7	6	7	+1	27
11	Regensburg	22	6	8	8	-5	26
12	Darmstadt	21	7	4	10	-4	25
13	St Pauli	21	6	7	8	-5	25
14	Nurnberg	21	6	5	10	-6	23
15	Osnabruck	21	6	4	11	-11	22
16	Braunschweig	22	5	5	12	-22	20
17	Sandhausen	21	5	3	13	-18	18
18	Wurzburger Kickers	21	3	3	15	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+16	23
3	Bochum	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Erzgebirge Aue	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+6	21
6	Hannover	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Holstein Kiel	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Greuther Furth	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Braunschweig	12	5	2	5	-4	17
11	Regensburg	11	4	4	3	+2	16
12	Sandhausen	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	+2	14
14	Darmstadt	11	4	2	5	-1	14
15	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Nurnberg	11	3	3	5	-4	12
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	4	0	+12	22
2	Greuther Furth	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Karlsruhe	11	7	1	3	+5	22
4	Hamburg	10	5	4	1	+5	19
5	Bochum	11	6	1	4	+2	19
6	Osnabruck	11	4	3	4	-4	15
7	St Pauli	11	3	4	4	-2	13
8	Hannover	11	4	1	6	-2	13
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	3	5	-4	12
10	Nurnberg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Erzgebirge Aue	11	3	2	6	-5	11
13	Paderborn	11	2	4	5	-3	10
14	Regensburg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	11	1	0	10	-15	3
17	Sandhausen	10	1	0	9	-17	3
18	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.