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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T S S T

3–3

Full-time

Hamburg

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

42%

63%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

63%

74%

Both score Ø 58%

47%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

10 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

0 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 8. · Hamburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	19	12	4	3	+21	40
2	Bochum	19	11	3	5	+15	36
3	Holstein Kiel	19	10	6	3	+13	36
4	Greuther Furth	19	10	5	4	+14	35
5	Karlsruhe	19	10	2	7	+6	32
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	5	5	+4	32
7	Hannover	19	9	2	8	+8	29
8	Erzgebirge Aue	19	8	4	7	+2	28
9	Paderborn	19	7	5	7	+1	26
10	Heidenheim	19	7	5	7	+0	26
11	Regensburg	19	6	6	7	-3	24
12	Darmstadt	19	6	4	9	-4	22
13	Osnabruck	19	6	4	9	-9	22
14	Nurnberg	19	5	5	9	-6	20
15	St Pauli	19	4	7	8	-7	19
16	Sandhausen	19	5	3	11	-16	18
17	Braunschweig	19	4	5	10	-21	17
18	Wurzburger Kickers	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+16	22
2	Heidenheim	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	3	0	+8	21
4	Bochum	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Hannover	9	6	1	2	+11	19
6	Erzgebirge Aue	9	5	2	2	+5	17
7	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
8	Holstein Kiel	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Regensburg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Sandhausen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Greuther Furth	9	4	2	3	+3	14
12	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-5	14
13	Karlsruhe	9	4	1	4	+2	13
14	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Darmstadt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	St Pauli	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Holstein Kiel	9	5	4	0	+10	19
3	Karlsruhe	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Hamburg	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Bochum	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Osnabruck	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
8	Erzgebirge Aue	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-4	11
10	St Pauli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Hannover	10	3	1	6	-3	10
12	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-3	9
13	Regensburg	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	0	8	-11	3
17	Braunschweig	9	0	3	6	-16	3
18	Sandhausen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.