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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Hannover

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Hannover

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 8

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 9. · Hannover 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	23	14	3	6	+20	45
2	Holstein Kiel	23	13	6	4	+16	45
3	Greuther Furth	23	12	7	4	+18	43
4	Hamburg	23	12	6	5	+19	42
5	Karlsruhe	23	12	3	8	+7	39
6	Heidenheim	24	11	6	7	+5	39
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	23	10	6	7	+2	36
8	Hannover	23	10	4	9	+8	34
9	Erzgebirge Aue	23	9	5	9	+0	32
10	Paderborn	24	8	7	9	+0	31
11	St Pauli	23	8	7	8	-3	31
12	Regensburg	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Darmstadt	24	8	4	12	-5	28
14	Nurnberg	23	7	6	10	-5	27
15	Osnabruck	23	6	4	13	-15	22
16	Sandhausen	23	6	3	14	-16	21
17	Braunschweig	23	5	6	12	-22	21
18	Wurzburger Kickers	24	4	3	17	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Bochum	12	8	2	2	+18	26
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+16	23
5	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
6	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Erzgebirge Aue	11	6	3	2	+6	21
8	Paderborn	12	6	3	3	+4	21
9	Greuther Furth	11	6	2	3	+7	20
10	Regensburg	12	5	4	3	+3	19
11	Sandhausen	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	St Pauli	12	5	3	4	-1	18
13	Braunschweig	12	5	2	5	-4	17
14	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	+1	14
15	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-2	14
16	Nurnberg	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	3	3	6	-7	12
18	Osnabruck	11	2	1	8	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	12	8	1	3	+6	25
2	Greuther Furth	12	6	5	1	+11	23
3	Holstein Kiel	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Hamburg	12	5	4	3	+3	19
5	Bochum	11	6	1	4	+2	19
6	Osnabruck	12	4	3	5	-7	15
7	Nurnberg	11	4	2	5	-1	14
8	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-3	14
9	St Pauli	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Hannover	12	4	1	7	-3	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	3	6	-5	12
12	Heidenheim	12	3	3	6	-9	12
13	Erzgebirge Aue	12	3	2	7	-6	11
14	Paderborn	12	2	4	6	-4	10
15	Regensburg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Braunschweig	11	0	4	7	-18	4
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	0	11	-18	3
18	Sandhausen	11	1	0	10	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.