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2. Bundesliga
1–0
Full-time
Osnabruck
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

22 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 9. · Osnabruck 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Hamburg 5 4 1 0 +10 13
3 Bielefeld 6 3 3 0 +6 12
4 Greuther Furth 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Sandhausen 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Osnabruck 5 3 0 2 +5 9
7 Karlsruhe 6 3 0 3 -2 9
8 Heidenheim 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Erzgebirge Aue 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Regensburg 6 2 1 3 +3 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -3 7
12 St Pauli 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Dresden 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Hannover 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Darmstadt 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Holstein Kiel 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Bochum 5 0 2 3 -4 2
18 Wehen 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,61
U
3,34
B
2,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.