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Championship
Referee: R Jones
Leeds
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 2. · Nott'm Forest 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Nott'm Forest
Kalvin Phillips 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ Tiago Silva
1–0 Pablo Hernández
M. Klich
59′
64′
🔁 S. Ameobi
↦ A. Adomah
71′
🟨 Samba Sow
72′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ B. Watson
E. Alioski 🔁
↦ J. Harrison
73′
77′
L. Grabban 1–1
Rafa Mir
Adam Forshaw 🟨
80′
Hélder Costa 🔁
↦ M. Klich
80′
90′
🟨 Jack Robinson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-1-4-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
3 B. Douglas D
6 L. Cooper D
5 B. White D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas D
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
10 E. Alioski
17 Hélder Costa
46 J. Shackleton
44 M. Bogusz
47 J. Clarke
28 G. Berardi
1 I. Meslier

Coach: M. Bielsa

Nott'm Forest

4-1-4-1
49 A. Murić G
20 M. Dawson D
18 J. Robinson D
4 J. Worrall D
8 B. Watson M
37 A. Adomah M
28 Tiago Silva M
17 Alfa Semedo M
11 M. Cash D
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
21 S. Sow
19 S. Ameobi
14 Rafa Mir
16 C. Jenkinson
30 B. Samba
2 Yuri Ribeiro
3 Tobias Figueiredo

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
4,18
B
6,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.