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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Bristol City
U T T S U
1–3
Full-time
Leeds
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Leeds
26′
Pablo Hernández 0–1
A. Forshaw
Half-time 0–1
Marlon Pack 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Adam Forshaw
54′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
Kasey Palmer 🟨
55′
57′
P. Bamford 0–2
Pablo Hernández
J. Paterson 🔁
↦ C. ODowda
63′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ K. Palmer
64′
72′
J. Harrison 0–3
76′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ M. Klich
79′
🔁 E. Alioski
↦ B. Douglas
1–3 A. Weimann
N. Eliasson
79′
M. Taylor 🔁
↦ F. Diedhiou
80′
85′
🔁 L. Davis
↦ J. Harrison
Matty Taylor 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley
2 J. Hunt D
22 T. Kalas D
3 J. Dasilva D
23 T. Moore D
21 M. Pack M
11 C. O'Dowda M
45 K. Palmer M
8 J. Brownhill M
14 A. Weimann M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
20 J. Paterson
19 N. Eliasson
10 M. Taylor
17 S. Szmodics
6 N. Baker
25 T. Rowe
38 J. Wollacott

Coach: L. Johnson

Leeds

4-1-4-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
3 B. Douglas D
6 L. Cooper D
5 B. White D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas D
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
17 Hélder Costa
10 E. Alioski
40 L. Davis
53 R. Gotts
30 K. Miazek
47 J. Clarke
44 M. Bogusz

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U
3,32
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.