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Eliteserien

Referee: Jorgen Haugen

Aalesund

T U U S T

2–0

Full-time

Start

S T T S S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

6,3

3,0

Scored

3,8

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 14%

11%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 78%

89%

67%

Average goals

3,9

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

2,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

24 Shots 24

12 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 10

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 15. · Start 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	14	2	2	+33	+27.3	44
2	Viking	18	14	1	3	+24	+15.7	43
3	Tromso	18	10	5	3	+14	+7.2	35
4	Molde	18	9	3	6	+7	+11.5	30
5	Brann	18	8	2	8	+9	+1.9	26
6	Lillestrom	18	8	2	8	-1	+3.9	26
7	Fredrikstad	18	8	2	8	-6	-9.7	26
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	+1	-1.6	24
9	Sarpsborg 08	18	6	5	7	-3	-0.3	23
10	Ham-Kam	18	6	5	7	-6	-5.4	23
11	Valerenga	18	6	3	9	-7	-3.3	21
12	Sandefjord	18	5	4	9	-8	-9.1	19
13	KFUM Oslo	18	5	4	9	-11	-11.4	19
14	Kristiansund	18	4	4	10	-12	-10.2	16
15	Aalesund	18	2	9	7	-15	-12.8	15
16	Start	18	3	4	11	-19	-3.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	8	0	1	+24	+20.9	24
2	Viking	8	8	0	0	+18	+8.5	24
3	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+11	+10.8	21
4	Molde	9	6	1	2	+10	+6.0	19
5	Rosenborg	9	5	2	2	+8	+4.7	17
6	Ham-Kam	9	5	2	2	+2	-2.2	17
7	Fredrikstad	8	5	1	2	+3	-1.3	16
8	Brann	9	5	0	4	+4	+4.6	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	2	2	+2	+2.8	14
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	2	4	-1	-7.1	14
11	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	+1	-2.0	13
12	Lillestrom	9	4	0	5	+0	+3.9	12
13	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.6	11
14	Sandefjord	9	2	4	3	-3	-4.8	10
15	Start	9	2	3	4	-5	+1.8	9
16	Aalesund	10	1	6	3	-6	-2.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.4	20
2	Viking	10	6	1	3	+6	+7.2	19
3	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	-3.6	14
4	Lillestrom	9	4	2	3	-1	-0.0	14
5	Brann	9	3	2	4	+5	-2.8	11
6	Molde	9	3	2	4	-3	+5.5	11
7	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	-9	-8.4	10
8	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
9	Sandefjord	9	3	0	6	-5	-4.3	9
10	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-8	-1.4	8
11	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.3	7
12	Ham-Kam	9	1	3	5	-8	-3.2	6
13	Aalesund	8	1	3	4	-9	-10.7	6
14	KFUM Oslo	8	1	2	5	-10	-4.3	5
15	Kristiansund	10	1	2	7	-11	-3.6	5
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -26 Start – Aalesund 1–1 23. Aug -25 Start – Aalesund 3–1 24. May -25 Aalesund – Start 1–1 21. Oct -24 Aalesund – Start 3–1 6. Apr -24 Start – Aalesund 1–3

Match report

Aalesund Start

Mbacke Diop 🟨

15′

1–0 Elias Kristoffersen Hagen ⚽

20′

2–0 Mathias Christensen ⚽

Sander Erik Kartum

24′

Ólafur Gudmundsson 🟨

29′

45′

🔁 Mikael Ugland

↦ Steve Mvoue

Half-time 2–0

Endre Osenbroch 🔁

↦ Sander Erik Kartum

59′

Jakob Nyland Örsahl 🔁

↦ Uba Charles Nwokoma

59′

62′

🔁 Hakon Lorentzen

↦ Eirik Schulze

62′

🔁 Santino Samuyiwa

↦ Nikolaos Koutsakos

Elias Heggland Myrlid 🔁

↦ Isak Gabriel Skotheim

71′

78′

🔁 nikola jojic

↦ Ousmane Diallo Toure

Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

5-3-2

Luca Podlech G

U. Charles D

M. Andresen D

D. Mbacke D

Ó. Guðmundsson D

K. Nessø D

M. Christensen M

E. Hagen M

S. Kartum M

H. M. Reed F

I. Skotheim F

Bench (9)

45 P. Aukland

22 E. Engqvist

4 S. Haram

30 S. K. Knutsen

26 T. Larsen

17 E. Myrlid

16 J. Ørsahl

15 E. Osenbroch

38 T. Leikanger

Coach: K. Rekdal

Start

5-3-2

F. Manojlović G

O. Toure D

E. Reitan D

A. Ujkani D

J. Husebø D

D. Dashaev D

S. Mvoué M

E. Segberg M

E. Schulze M

J. Cornelius F

N. Koutsakos F

Bench (9)

5 S. Granheim

8 N. Jojić

20 H. Lorentzen

4 J. Meyer

2 F. Pålerud

24 S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen

18 M. Ugland

35 S. Samuyiwa

13 S. Griesbeck

Coach: A. Karadas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,14

🔒

Dafabet 2,22 Unibet 2,20 Superbet 2,20 10Bet 2,15 Pinnacle 2,15 SBO 2,14 1xBet 2,14 Bet365 2,10 Betano 2,10 Betfair 2,10 William Hill 2,10 Marathonbet 2,09 BetVictor 2,05

3,85

🔒

Pinnacle 3,99 Bet365 3,90 Betfair 3,90 1xBet 3,89 10Bet 3,85 Betano 3,85 Dafabet 3,85 Marathonbet 3,80 Unibet 3,70 Superbet 3,70 BetVictor 3,70 William Hill 3,60 SBO 3,21

2,95

🔒

Pinnacle 3,15 1xBet 3,09 Marathonbet 3,02 Bet365 3,00 Betano 3,00 BetVictor 3,00 Dafabet 2,95 Superbet 2,92 10Bet 2,90 William Hill 2,90 Unibet 2,88 Betfair 2,88 SBO 2,69

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,13

🔒