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Eliteserien

Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug

Brann

U S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Start

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 79%

83%

75%

Average goals

3,7

3,4

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,69 xG 1,31

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brann 11. · Start 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	14	8	4	2	+8	+6.9	28
2	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+19	+16.1	26
4	Lillestrom	12	7	1	4	+8	+4.6	22
5	Molde	12	6	2	4	+5	+2.1	20
6	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.8	17
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.6	14
8	Sandefjord	11	4	2	5	-3	-1.2	14
9	Fredrikstad	12	4	2	6	-7	-6.4	14
10	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-8	-3.9	14
11	Brann	12	4	1	7	+4	+1.3	13
12	Aalesund	12	2	6	4	-5	-8.9	12
13	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	-7	-4.3	12
14	Kristiansund	11	3	2	6	-7	-5.4	11
15	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-9	-4.4	9
16	Start	12	1	4	7	-15	-6.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Molde	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.0	15
4	Ham-Kam	6	5	0	1	+5	-1.0	15
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
6	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.3	10
7	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
8	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
9	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
10	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.5	8
11	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
12	Rosenborg	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.7	8
13	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
14	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
15	Brann	5	2	0	3	+0	+3.4	6
16	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
2	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
3	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
4	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-3	-3.0	8
5	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
7	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-4	-1.2	6
8	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-3	-7.4	5
9	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
10	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-6	-2.9	4
11	Fredrikstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.8	4
12	Valerenga	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.7	4
13	Ham-Kam	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.8	2
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	7	0	1	6	-14	-6.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.