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Eliteserien
Referee: Mischa Kellerhals
Fredrikstad
U S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,45 xG 0,95
38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredrikstad 12. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 +30 +24.8 38
2 Viking 14 11 1 2 +20 +13.0 34
3 Tromso 15 9 4 2 +11 +8.8 31
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 +4 +3.6 25
5 Molde 14 7 2 5 +6 +6.5 23
6 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 3 5 -1 +1.4 21
7 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 -3 -3.5 21
8 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 -5 -3.6 20
9 Brann 15 6 1 8 +5 +0.8 19
10 Rosenborg 14 5 3 6 +1 -0.0 18
11 Sandefjord 14 4 3 7 -7 -7.2 15
12 Fredrikstad 14 4 2 8 -12 -10.5 14
13 Aalesund 14 2 7 5 -10 -10.0 13
14 KFUM Oslo 14 3 3 8 -10 -9.3 12
15 Kristiansund 14 3 3 8 -11 -8.6 12
16 Start 15 2 4 9 -18 -6.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Sandefjord
10′
🔁 J. Vester
↦ M. Melchior
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger 🟨
26′
1–0 F. Holme
M. Nilsson
39′
Half-time 1–0
I. Amundsen 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
46′
S. Rafn 🔁
↦ F. Ghebreyohannes
64′
G. Wesseh 🔁
↦ B. Faraas
64′
70′
🔁 J. Dunsby
↦ E. Patoulidis
70′
🔁 D. Skaarud
↦ S. Mork
70′
🔁 F. Apetorgbor
↦ B. Berntsen
L. Owusu 🔁
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
77′
J. Jezierski 🔁
↦ M. Nilsson
88′
89′
🔁 H. Krogelien
↦ X. Lambrix
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

4-3-3
77 M. Borsheim G
28 S. Owusu D
4 F. Holme D
12 U. Fredriksen D
19 F. Ghebreyohannes D
16 D. Eid M
14 M. Nilsson M
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
7 B. Faraas F
23 H. Skogvold F
9 S. Laghzaoui F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
6 S. Leach
10 J. Nunez
24 L. Owusu
38 I. Amundsen
5 S. Rafn
21 J. Jezierski
3 A. Andresen
29 G. Wesseh

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Sandefjord

4-1-4-1
30 E. Hadaya G
4 F. Pedersen D
13 R. Holten D
44 X. Lambrix D
3 V. Egeli D
6 S. Mork M
7 E. Patoulidis M
14 E. Pettersen M
20 M. Melchior M
19 B. Berntsen M
24 S. Mathisen F
Bench (9)
1 A. Gronneberg
27 J. Dunsby
2 M. Hellan
32 D. Skaarud
21 J. Swift
16 H. Krogelien
37 J. Vester
17 F. Apetorgbor
31 H. B. Skretteberg

Coach: Andreas Tegstrom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.