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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Aalesund

U U U T U

2–6

Full-time

Tromso

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

14%

60%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

64%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

86%

33%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,46 xG 1,82

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 13. · Tromso 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	12	2	2	+30	+24.8	38
2	Viking	15	12	1	2	+23	+12.7	37
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
4	Lillestrom	15	8	1	6	+4	+3.6	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	+6	+6.5	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-1	+1.4	21
7	Ham-Kam	15	6	3	6	-3	-3.5	21
8	Valerenga	15	6	2	7	-5	-3.6	20
9	Brann	15	6	1	8	+5	+0.8	19
10	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	+1	-0.0	18
11	Fredrikstad	15	5	2	8	-11	-10.0	17
12	Sandefjord	15	4	3	8	-8	-7.7	15
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	-10	-10.0	13
14	KFUM Oslo	14	3	3	8	-10	-9.3	12
15	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-11	-8.6	12
16	Start	16	2	4	10	-21	-5.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+22	+19.1	21
2	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Rosenborg	8	4	2	2	+7	+5.3	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.1	14
8	Valerenga	8	4	1	3	+3	-1.4	13
9	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+2	-1.1	13
10	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
11	KFUM Oslo	8	3	1	4	-2	-6.0	10
12	Brann	7	3	0	4	+0	+3.3	9
13	Sandefjord	7	2	3	2	-2	-4.2	9
14	Aalesund	8	1	5	2	-2	-1.9	8
15	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
16	Start	7	1	3	3	-7	-0.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	1	2	+7	+6.6	19
2	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+8	+5.7	17
3	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	-1	-0.8	13
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
8	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
9	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-5	-0.7	6
10	Sandefjord	8	2	0	6	-6	-3.5	6
11	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
12	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Fredrikstad	8	1	1	6	-13	-9.0	4
15	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4
16	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.