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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Tromso

T S U S T

0–2

Full-time

Molde

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,7

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 39%

27%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

73%

75%

Both score Ø 52%

36%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,59 xG 1,54

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 14. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	3	1	+18	+12.7	30
2	Brann	14	8	4	2	+9	+12.3	28
3	Fredrikstad	12	6	4	2	+9	+1.2	22
4	Molde	12	6	3	3	+9	+10.0	21
5	Viking	11	5	4	2	+5	+4.6	19
6	Stromsgodset	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.1	18
7	Lillestrom	12	5	1	6	-5	-3.7	16
8	KFUM Oslo	12	3	6	3	-1	+4.7	15
9	Kristiansund	13	3	5	5	-3	-7.3	14
10	Rosenborg	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.3	14
11	Odd	13	3	5	5	-10	-8.5	14
12	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	+0	-1.7	13
13	Haugesund	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.2	13
14	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-5	-5.0	10
15	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	1	8	-12	-6.9	10
16	Sandefjord	12	2	3	7	-5	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	8	5	1	2	+4	+9.9	16
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	3	0	+6	+4.6	12
3	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	+8.9	11
4	Viking	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.3	11
5	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	+0	+1.5	10
6	Tromso	7	3	0	4	+1	+0.3	9
7	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.3	9
8	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.5	8
10	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	+0	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
12	Odd	7	1	3	3	-6	-1.8	6
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.0	4
14	KFUM Oslo	6	0	4	2	-5	+5.1	4
15	Lillestrom	6	1	1	4	-10	-3.6	4
16	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	0	5	-11	-1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+12	+8.0	18
2	Fredrikstad	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.5	14
3	Brann	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.4	12
4	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.1	12
5	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.4	11
6	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
7	Stromsgodset	7	3	1	3	-3	-3.6	10
8	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	+2	+0.3	9
9	Viking	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.3	8
10	Odd	6	2	2	2	-4	-6.8	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-1	-5.1	7
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
13	Kristiansund	7	1	2	4	-4	-10.6	5
14	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
15	Sandefjord	7	0	3	4	-5	-0.5	3
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.