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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Tromso

U S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Molde

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/7 matches

Win Ø 62%

67%

57%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

43%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,98 xG 1,16

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 1. · Molde 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+7	+7.0	20
2	Viking	7	6	0	1	+13	+8.6	18
3	Lillestrom	8	5	1	2	+7	+3.1	16
4	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	1	2	+7	+7.3	13
5	Molde	7	4	1	2	+6	+1.4	13
6	Ham-Kam	7	4	1	2	+0	-1.8	13
7	Brann	8	3	1	4	+7	+4.2	10
8	Sandefjord	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.1	10
9	Kristiansund	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.5	8
10	KFUM Oslo	7	2	2	3	-4	-1.4	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	2	4	-4	+1.1	8
12	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-5	-4.6	8
13	Rosenborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-2.3	8
14	Fredrikstad	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.7	7
15	Start	8	0	4	4	-10	-4.0	4
16	Aalesund	7	0	3	4	-7	-8.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+5	+7.0	13
2	Viking	4	4	0	0	+12	+4.3	12
3	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+3	-0.7	12
4	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
6	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.0	7
7	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+7	+6.9	6
8	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.8	6
9	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
10	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.9	5
11	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
12	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.7	4
13	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
14	Brann	3	1	0	2	+0	+2.3	3
15	Start	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.7	3
16	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.3	10
2	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
3	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Molde	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
8	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
10	Fredrikstad	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.2	3
11	KFUM Oslo	4	0	2	2	-6	-0.9	2
12	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
13	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
14	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	-6.7	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.