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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Molde

S S U S T

1–2

Full-time

Fredrikstad

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

37%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

37%

Both score Ø 41%

40%

42%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,46 xG 2,59

67% Possession 33%

30 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

11 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

14 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 10. · Fredrikstad 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	21	15	3	3	+39	+33.8	48
2	Viking	20	14	3	3	+22	+18.7	45
3	Brann	19	11	4	4	+7	+15.3	37
4	Tromso	20	11	3	6	+5	+3.6	36
5	Valerenga	20	9	3	8	+2	-2.4	30
6	Rosenborg	19	8	6	5	+2	+5.4	30
7	Sandefjord	19	9	1	9	+8	-4.4	28
8	KFUM Oslo	20	7	6	7	+7	+6.1	27
9	Fredrikstad	19	7	6	6	+3	-0.9	27
10	Molde	20	8	3	9	+2	+1.1	27
11	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	7	7	+1	+13.1	25
12	Kristiansund	21	6	6	9	-18	-17.6	24
13	Ham-Kam	20	5	6	9	-12	-13.9	21
14	Bryne	20	5	5	10	-10	-3.6	20
15	Stromsgodset	20	4	1	15	-19	-22.0	13
16	Haugesund	20	1	3	16	-39	-32.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
2	Sandefjord	10	8	0	2	+18	+2.0	24
3	Viking	10	7	2	1	+13	+12.3	23
4	Fredrikstad	11	6	2	3	+7	+0.6	20
5	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
6	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
7	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+5	+6.0	19
8	Valerenga	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.2	17
9	Molde	10	5	1	4	+4	+6.5	16
10	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
11	Bryne	10	4	3	3	-1	+4.7	15
12	Ham-Kam	10	3	3	4	-6	-7.0	12
13	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-5	-7.9	10
14	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	3	4	+0	+3.8	9
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-12	-9.2	6
16	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-19	-9.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+15	+13.9	23
2	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
3	Brann	10	5	2	3	+1	+6.1	17
4	Tromso	10	5	2	3	+0	-2.4	17
5	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+1	+9.3	16
6	Kristiansund	11	4	2	5	-13	-9.7	14
7	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.6	13
8	KFUM Oslo	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.7	12
9	Molde	10	3	2	5	-2	-5.3	11
10	Rosenborg	10	3	2	5	-8	-4.1	11
11	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-7	-12.9	7
14	Bryne	10	1	2	7	-9	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-20	-22.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.