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Eliteserien
Referee: A Medic
Tromso
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Aalesund
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
65%
13%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
61%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,61 xG 1,62
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 3. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 16 4 3 +30 +13.6 52
2 Viking 24 16 4 4 +17 +3.3 52
3 Tromso 23 15 3 5 +11 +8.9 48
4 Brann 23 14 3 6 +16 +0.9 45
5 Molde 23 13 5 5 +28 +15.7 44
6 Lillestrom 23 11 3 9 +5 +5.9 36
7 Sarpsborg 08 23 10 4 9 +5 +0.9 34
8 Odd 24 8 7 9 -3 -3.3 31
9 Rosenborg 23 8 5 10 -6 -1.6 29
10 Stromsgodset 23 8 3 12 -5 -5.5 27
11 Valerenga 23 6 6 11 -7 -5.0 24
12 Ham-Kam 23 7 3 13 -18 -11.4 24
13 Sandefjord 23 5 6 12 -10 -11.1 21
14 Haugesund 23 5 6 12 -14 -5.7 21
15 Stabaek 23 5 5 13 -13 -4.4 20
16 Aalesund 23 3 3 17 -36 -1.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Aalesund
40′
🟨 Erlend Segberg
45′
🟨 Bjorn Martin Kristensen
45′
ℹ️ Bjorn Martin Kristensen
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–0
Christophe Psyche 🟨
46′
47′
M. Karlsbakk 0–1
1–1 V. Erlien
K. Antonsen
52′
E. Diouf 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
66′
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ M. Traoré
66′
73′
🟨 John Kitolano
80′
🔁 E. Moses
↦ B. Kristensen
80′
🔁 I. Atanga
↦ H. Melland
Lasse Selvåg Nordås 🟨
84′
89′
H. Hammer 1–2
F. Winther 🔁
↦ J. Romsaas
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
4 J. Gundersen D
28 C. Psyché D
8 K. Antonsen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
22 S. Opsahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
10 J. Romsaas M
17 Y. Paintsil M
15 V. Erlien F
29 M. Traoré F
Bench (9)
26 E. Diouf
18 L. Nordås
7 F. Winther
32 M. Tollefsen
20 D. Gaye
23 R. Norheim
5 A. Jenssen
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
23 E. Frøysa D
21 A. Diop D
4 N. Hopland D
25 J. Kitolano D
6 E. Segberg M
8 H. Hammer M
37 H. Melland M
29 B. Kristensen F
18 M. Ramsland F
22 M. Karlsbakk F
Bench (7)
11 E. Moses
19 I. Atanga
33 S. Haram
13 M. Lansing
2 T. Murray
27 M. Diop
5 D. Fällman

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Medic · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.