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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Stromsgodset

S T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Rosenborg

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 35%

43%

27%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

29%

53%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

53%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,84 xG 0,87

58% Possession 42%

7 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Rosenborg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	13	2	1	+27	+5.4	41
2	Tromso	15	9	3	3	+7	+0.5	30
3	Molde	16	9	2	5	+19	+6.7	29
4	Viking	14	9	2	3	+10	-0.1	29
5	Brann	16	8	3	5	+7	-3.2	27
6	Lillestrom	15	8	2	5	+7	+5.2	26
7	Odd	16	6	4	6	-1	+1.7	22
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	3	6	+1	-0.3	21
9	Stromsgodset	14	6	2	6	+2	-0.8	20
10	Haugesund	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.4	18
11	Rosenborg	15	4	4	7	-5	-0.8	16
12	Stabaek	15	4	4	7	-7	+4.0	16
13	Ham-Kam	15	5	1	9	-15	-2.3	16
14	Valerenga	14	3	2	9	-9	-5.1	11
15	Sandefjord	14	2	4	8	-13	-7.1	10
16	Aalesund	15	2	1	12	-23	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	2	0	+15	+1.7	20
2	Brann	8	6	2	0	+12	+0.3	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
5	Lillestrom	8	5	0	3	+7	+2.7	15
6	Haugesund	7	4	2	1	+3	-0.7	14
7	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
8	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	+0	-2.3	13
9	Rosenborg	9	4	1	4	-1	-0.8	13
10	Stromsgodset	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.5	12
11	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.1	12
12	Odd	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.9	11
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
14	Sandefjord	6	2	2	2	+3	-4.4	8
15	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	-7	-0.7	7
16	Valerenga	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.7	21
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+4	-1.0	16
3	Viking	7	4	1	2	+0	-0.1	13
4	Lillestrom	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.5	11
5	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.3	11
6	Odd	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.7	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+4	+2.2	10
8	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.8	8
9	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.3	8
10	Brann	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.6	7
11	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-10	+3.9	4
12	Haugesund	8	1	1	6	-10	-1.7	4
13	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	0	6	-15	+0.0	3
15	Sandefjord	8	0	2	6	-16	-2.7	2
16	Aalesund	7	0	0	7	-16	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.