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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Haugesund

S T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,49 xG 2,18

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Haugesund 12. · Lillestrom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	12	2	1	+24	+1.9	38
2	Molde	16	9	2	5	+19	+6.7	29
3	Viking	14	9	2	3	+10	-0.1	29
4	Brann	15	8	3	4	+9	-3.3	27
5	Tromso	14	8	3	3	+5	+0.6	27
6	Lillestrom	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.5	26
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	3	6	+1	-0.3	21
8	Stromsgodset	14	6	2	6	+2	-0.8	20
9	Odd	15	5	4	6	-2	+0.5	19
10	Rosenborg	15	4	4	7	-5	-0.8	16
11	Stabaek	14	4	4	6	-6	+1.0	16
12	Haugesund	14	4	3	7	-8	-1.7	15
13	Ham-Kam	14	4	1	9	-16	+0.7	13
14	Valerenga	13	3	2	8	-8	-3.9	11
15	Sandefjord	13	2	4	7	-10	-3.6	10
16	Aalesund	15	2	1	12	-23	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	2	0	+15	+1.7	20
2	Brann	8	6	2	0	+12	+0.3	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
5	Lillestrom	8	5	0	3	+7	+2.7	15
6	Rosenborg	9	4	1	4	-1	-0.8	13
7	Stromsgodset	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.5	12
8	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.1	12
9	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
10	Tromso	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.6	11
11	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
12	Ham-Kam	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
13	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+6	-0.9	8
14	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.3	8
15	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	-7	-0.7	7
16	Valerenga	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+9	+0.3	18
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+4	-1.0	16
3	Viking	7	4	1	2	+0	-0.1	13
4	Lillestrom	6	3	2	1	+1	+1.8	11
5	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.3	11
6	Odd	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.7	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+4	+2.2	10
8	Valerenga	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.6	8
9	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.3	8
10	Brann	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.7	7
11	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-9	+0.9	4
12	Haugesund	8	1	1	6	-10	-1.7	4
13	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	0	6	-15	+0.0	3
15	Sandefjord	8	0	2	6	-16	-2.7	2
16	Aalesund	7	0	0	7	-16	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.