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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Stromsgodset
T U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 12
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Rosenborg 2 1 1 0 +5 4
3 Molde 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Valerenga 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Tromso 3 1 1 1 -2 4
6 Kristiansund 3 1 0 2 -3 3
7 Viking 3 1 0 2 -4 3
8 Sarpsborg 08 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Haugesund 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Brann 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Lillestrom
0–1 I. Ogbu
own goal
6′
1–1 H. Stengel
17′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Lars Ranger
56′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ T. Svendsen
Herman Stengel 🟨
63′
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ H. Stengel
67′
J. Ipalibo 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
71′
74′
I. Ogbu 1–2
K. Kairinen
V. Ingimundarson 🔁
↦ L. Vilsvik
81′
Moses Dramwi Mawa 🟨
83′
2–2 F. Friday
J. Hove
86′
91′
🔁 E. Garnås
↦ P. Slørdahl
Mikkel Maigaard 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 V. Myhra G
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
7 H. Stengel M
19 H. Stenevik F
8 J. Hove M
17 T. Gulliksen M
9 F. Friday F
10 M. Mawa F
Bench (8)
20 M. Maigaard
6 J. Ipalibo
23 V. Ingimundarson
2 A. Leifsson
70 S. Hanssen
40 M. Sætra
92 K. Krasniqi
80 A. Nyhagen

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Lillestrom

4-3-3
1 Á. Craninx G
5 V. Dragsnes D
26 L. Ranger D
30 I. Ogbu D
22 P. Slørdahl D
23 G. Åsen M
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
90 D. Gustafsson F
10 T. Olsen F
11 T. Svendsen F
Bench (9)
18 U. Mathisen
4 E. Garnås
14 F. Krogstad
9 K. Eriksen
12 M. Christiansen
27 A. Sannes
25 E. Edh
15 J. Baccay
33 H. Skogvold

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.