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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Lillestrom

T S S U T

4–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Stromsgodset 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	27	17	7	3	+31	58
2	Molde	27	16	5	6	+28	53
3	Viking	27	14	6	7	+8	48
4	Rosenborg	27	12	7	8	+14	43
5	Kristiansund	27	13	4	10	-4	43
6	Lillestrom	27	12	6	9	+4	42
7	Valerenga	27	9	12	6	+7	39
8	Sarpsborg 08	27	10	6	11	-5	36
9	Haugesund	27	9	7	11	+3	34
10	Stromsgodset	27	9	7	11	+3	34
11	Tromso	27	7	10	10	-10	31
12	Odd	27	7	9	11	-13	30
13	Sandefjord	27	8	6	13	-14	30
14	Stabaek	27	6	6	15	-23	24
15	Mjondalen	27	4	10	13	-12	22
16	Brann	27	4	10	13	-17	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	11	1	2	+28	34
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+21	33
3	Kristiansund	13	9	2	2	+11	29
4	Stromsgodset	14	8	3	3	+21	27
5	Haugesund	13	8	3	2	+15	27
6	Viking	14	8	3	3	+10	27
7	Rosenborg	13	8	2	3	+16	26
8	Valerenga	14	6	7	1	+11	25
9	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	5	3	+8	23
10	Lillestrom	13	6	3	4	+5	21
11	Sandefjord	14	5	5	4	+2	20
12	Odd	13	4	4	5	+0	16
13	Stabaek	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Tromso	13	3	5	5	-3	14
15	Brann	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Mjondalen	13	2	5	6	+2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	7	4	2	+10	25
2	Lillestrom	14	6	3	5	-1	21
3	Viking	13	6	3	4	-2	21
4	Molde	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Rosenborg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
6	Tromso	14	4	5	5	-7	17
7	Valerenga	13	3	5	5	-4	14
8	Odd	14	3	5	6	-13	14
9	Kristiansund	14	4	2	8	-15	14
10	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	1	8	-13	13
11	Mjondalen	14	2	5	7	-14	11
12	Sandefjord	13	3	1	9	-16	10
13	Stabaek	13	2	3	8	-15	9
14	Brann	14	1	5	8	-13	8
15	Haugesund	14	1	4	9	-12	7
16	Stromsgodset	13	1	4	8	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.