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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Ajax

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Groningen

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 47%

71%

23%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

62%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

32 Shots 7

14 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 12

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Groningen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+29	36
2	Ajax	14	10	3	1	+21	33
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	8	6	1	+16	30
4	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+12	25
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	7	1	+10	22
6	Twente	15	5	6	4	+3	21
7	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+3	20
8	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Heracles	15	4	6	5	-5	18
10	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	5	6	-5	17
11	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-8	15
12	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-8	15
13	Nijmegen	15	3	6	6	-13	15
14	Den Haag	15	4	2	9	-11	14
15	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-18	13
17	Roda	15	1	9	5	-11	12
18	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	2	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+20	20
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	4	0	+8	13
4	Twente	7	3	3	1	+5	12
5	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Heerenveen	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Heracles	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	-3	10
14	Zwolle	8	2	2	4	-10	8
15	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Willem II	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-8	5
18	Roda	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	3	0	+13	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Groningen	7	2	2	3	+4	8
10	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Roda	8	1	5	2	-6	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-7	7
14	Excelsior	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Nijmegen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.