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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Groningen

U U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Ajax

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 46%

21%

71%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

54%

79%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,1

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Groningen 14. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	29	24	2	3	+44	74
2	Ajax	28	20	4	4	+50	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	29	19	5	5	+28	62
4	Feyenoord	28	14	6	8	+21	48
5	Zwolle	29	12	7	10	-2	43
6	Utrecht	25	11	7	7	+0	40
7	Vitesse	25	10	8	7	+9	38
8	Heracles	28	10	7	11	-12	37
9	Den Haag	27	10	6	11	-7	36
10	Heerenveen	26	9	8	9	-4	35
11	Excelsior	28	10	5	13	-6	35
12	VVV Venlo	29	7	13	9	-9	34
13	Willem II	29	8	6	15	-10	30
14	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-4	29
15	NAC Breda	29	7	6	16	-18	27
16	Roda	29	6	5	18	-29	23
17	Sparta Rotterdam	29	5	6	18	-31	21
18	Twente	29	4	8	17	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Heracles	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+11	29
5	Feyenoord	14	8	3	3	+11	27
6	Zwolle	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	14	5	7	2	+7	22
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-3	18
11	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+1	17
13	NAC Breda	14	5	1	8	-8	16
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	6	6	-5	15
15	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	2	8	-14	14
17	Roda	14	3	3	8	-13	12
18	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+12	31
3	Ajax	14	9	3	2	+24	30
4	Excelsior	14	8	1	5	+2	25
5	Feyenoord	14	6	3	5	+10	21
6	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	VVV Venlo	14	4	7	3	-4	19
8	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Heerenveen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Utrecht	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-10	16
12	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
13	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
14	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Groningen	14	1	4	9	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	1	4	10	-17	7
17	Heracles	14	1	4	9	-20	7
18	Twente	15	1	3	11	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.