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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Vitesse

S S S U U

0–4

Full-time

Ajax

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,7

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

44% Possession 56%

21 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 17. · Ajax 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Willem II	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	VVV Venlo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	De Graafschap	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.