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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Ajax

S S S U S

5–0

Full-time

FC Emmen

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 5. · FC Emmen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.