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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Groningen

T T U S U

4–0

Full-time

Excelsior

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

34%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

53%

66%

Both score Ø 68%

69%

66%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

22 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 12. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	32	26	3	3	+48	81
2	Ajax	32	23	4	5	+52	73
3	AZ Alkmaar	32	21	5	6	+31	68
4	Feyenoord	32	18	6	8	+34	60
5	Heerenveen	30	12	9	9	+1	45
6	Zwolle	32	12	8	12	-5	44
7	Utrecht	28	11	9	8	-2	42
8	Vitesse	28	11	8	9	+14	41
9	Den Haag	30	11	7	12	-8	40
10	Excelsior	32	11	7	14	-10	40
11	Heracles	32	10	8	14	-17	38
12	Groningen	32	7	13	12	-4	34
13	VVV Venlo	32	7	13	12	-15	34
14	Willem II	32	9	6	17	-14	33
15	NAC Breda	32	8	6	18	-19	30
16	Roda	32	7	6	19	-29	27
17	Sparta Rotterdam	32	7	6	19	-36	27
18	Twente	32	5	8	19	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+35	46
2	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+30	40
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+11	32
5	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Groningen	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Utrecht	14	6	7	1	+4	25
9	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
10	Willem II	16	6	3	7	+2	21
11	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
12	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
13	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-12	20
14	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
15	Twente	16	4	5	7	-6	17
16	Roda	16	4	4	8	-12	16
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
18	Excelsior	16	3	5	8	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	11	2	3	+13	35
3	Ajax	16	10	3	3	+22	33
4	Feyenoord	16	8	3	5	+16	27
5	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-6	19
9	VVV Venlo	16	4	7	5	-8	19
10	Utrecht	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	16	2	5	9	-11	11
14	Roda	16	3	2	11	-17	11
15	Groningen	16	1	6	9	-11	9
16	Heracles	16	1	5	10	-21	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.