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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Vitesse

T T S S S

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

3,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 27

4 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

6 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 1. · AZ Alkmaar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	VVV Venlo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	NAC Breda	3	0	1	2	-6	1
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	NAC Breda	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.