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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Vitesse
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
5,2
4,8
Scored
3,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Vitesse 5. · Den Haag 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 26 5 3 +48 83
2 Ajax 34 25 4 5 +56 79
3 AZ Alkmaar 34 22 5 7 +34 71
4 Feyenoord 34 20 6 8 +37 66
5 Vitesse 31 13 9 9 +22 48
6 Heerenveen 33 13 9 11 -2 48
7 Utrecht 31 12 10 9 -2 46
8 Den Haag 33 12 8 13 -10 44
9 Zwolle 34 12 8 14 -12 44
10 Heracles 34 11 9 14 -14 42
11 Excelsior 34 11 7 16 -15 40
12 Groningen 34 8 14 12 +0 38
13 Willem II 34 10 7 17 -13 37
14 NAC Breda 34 9 7 18 -16 34
15 VVV Venlo 34 7 13 14 -19 34
16 Roda 34 8 6 20 -27 30
17 Sparta Rotterdam 34 7 6 21 -41 27
18 Twente 34 5 9 20 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Den Haag
1–0 T. Matavž
R. Beerens
32′
Half-time 1–0
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ T. Serero
53′
2–0 M. Mount
B. Linssen
53′
F. Dabo 🔁
↦ V. Karavaev
55′
55′
A. El Khayati 2–1
B. Johnsen
68′
🔁 E. Falkenburg
↦ D. Bakker
74′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ E. Duplan
76′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ B. Johnsen
M. Ali 🔁
↦ N. Foor
78′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

24 J. Houwen
28 A. Büttner
37 G. Kashia
8 V. Karavaev
5 M. Miazga
7 R. Beerens
17 T. Serero
25 N. Foor
19 M. Mount
9 T. Matavž
11 B. Linssen
Bench (9)
10 T. Bruns
2 F. Dabo
23 M. Ali
3 M. van der Werff
14 L. Castaignos
16 M. van Bergen
21 M. Tørnes
22 R. Pasveer
43 L. Faye

Coach: E. Sturing

Den Haag

1 I. Groothuizen
8 A. Meijers
4 T. Beugelsdijk
5 W. Kanon
15 B. Kuipers
10 L. Immers
23 A. El Khayati
17 D. Bakker
21 E. Duplan
7 S. Becker
9 B. Johnsen
Bench (9)
30 E. Falkenburg
77 E. Hooi
33 M. Lorenzen
6 D. Gorter
14 D. Ladan
16 H. Asmelash
18 T. Coremans
20 N. Kuipers
24 J. van der Sar

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.