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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

T S S T S

4–3

Full-time

Vitesse

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 31/27 matches

Win Ø 53%

65%

41%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

65%

63%

Both score Ø 59%

55%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 19

10 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Vitesse 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	31	26	2	3	+48	80
2	Ajax	31	22	4	5	+49	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	31	20	5	6	+30	65
4	Feyenoord	31	17	6	8	+30	57
5	Heerenveen	30	12	9	9	+1	45
6	Zwolle	32	12	8	12	-5	44
7	Vitesse	27	11	8	8	+15	41
8	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	-2	41
9	Den Haag	30	11	7	12	-8	40
10	Excelsior	31	11	6	14	-10	39
11	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-17	37
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Groningen	31	7	12	12	-4	33
14	Willem II	31	9	6	16	-10	33
15	NAC Breda	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Roda	31	7	5	19	-29	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	32	5	8	19	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	1	0	+35	46
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Groningen	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
9	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-2	22
10	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
11	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
12	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
13	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Twente	16	4	5	7	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
16	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
17	Roda	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+13	34
3	Ajax	16	10	3	3	+22	33
4	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
9	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-6	19
10	Utrecht	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Roda	16	3	2	11	-17	11
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	15	1	4	10	-21	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.