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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Sarpsborg 08
T S S T T
4–3
Full-time
Sandefjord
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
64%
90%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 12 8 3 1 +13 27
2 Molde 11 8 1 2 +11 25
3 Viking 13 6 3 4 +7 21
4 Stromsgodset 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Bodo/Glimt 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Odd 13 6 0 7 -5 18
7 Rosenborg 11 4 5 2 +5 17
8 Sarpsborg 08 11 5 1 5 +9 16
9 Aalesund 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Ham-Kam 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Sandefjord 10 4 1 5 -3 13
12 Tromso 11 2 7 2 -3 13
13 Haugesund 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Valerenga 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Jerv 11 3 1 7 -13 10
16 Kristiansund 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
1–0 M. Maigaard
A. Salétros
8′
2–0 M. Maigaard
A. Salétros
19′
21′
A. Tveter 2–1
Simen Vidtun Nilsen 🟥
39′
L. Øy 🔁
↦ G. Molins
40′
44′
D. Vega 2–2
M. Ofkir
Half-time 2–2
M. Høyland 🔁
↦ T. Heintz
46′
M. Ødegaard 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
46′
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
46′
3–2 A. Salétros
54′
4–2 S. Martinsson-Ngouali
70′
73′
🔁 L. Markmanrud
↦ H. Singh
73′
M. Ofkir 4–3
D. Vega
77′
🟨 Keanin Ayer
78′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ K. Boya
E. Wichne 🔁
↦ J. Lindseth
84′
85′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ D. Vega
93′
🟨 Ian Smeulers
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 S. Nilsen G
3 J. Horn D
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
8 G. Molins F
Bench (9)
40 L. Øy
6 M. Høyland
5 M. Ødegaard
15 S. Skålevik
32 E. Wichne
22 K. Opseth
19 L. Mendy
31 A. Skipper
26 M. Compaoré

Coach: S. Billborn

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
4 I. Smeulers D
3 Q. Jansen D
15 J. Taaje D
24 H. Singh M
8 W. Kurtović M
7 M. Ofkir F
23 K. Boya D
5 A. Nilsson M
10 D. Vega F
14 A. Tveter F
Bench (8)
13 L. Markmanrud
20 F. Nyenetue
9 S. Gussiås
25 V. Egeli
12 H. Keto
11 Y. Chaib
21 F. Flo
41 B. Andersen

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.