Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
M'gladbach
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Wolfsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Hertha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Mainz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Hannover
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Schalke 04
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Nurnberg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Stuttgart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Freiburg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Leverkusen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Akanji
D
A. Witsel
M
T. Delaney
M
C. Pulisic
M
Coach: L. Favre
P. Gulácsi
G
L. Klostermann
D
D. Upamecano
D
I. Konaté
D
M. Sabitzer
M
Y. Poulsen
F
Coach: R. Rangnick
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Dortmund
Mainz
Werder Bremen
Dortmund
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Schalke 04
Dortmund
Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.