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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Dortmund

U S S S S

2–3

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

86%

57%

Points per game

2,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

29%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 2

7 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dortmund 1. · RB Leipzig 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+19	19
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	RB Leipzig	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Augsburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Hannover	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Mainz	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Stuttgart	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+2	8
14	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Hamburg	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Freiburg	8	1	4	3	-11	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	FC Koln	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
5	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Freiburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Hannover	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Werder Bremen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-5	2
13	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Leverkusen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.