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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Stromsgodset

T T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 14%

17%

11%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

61%

33%

Both score Ø 64%

56%

72%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 16. · Sarpsborg 08 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	19	12	4	3	+24	40
2	Bodo/Glimt	18	12	3	3	+14	39
3	Odd	19	10	5	4	+6	35
4	Rosenborg	19	9	5	5	+6	32
5	Brann	19	8	5	6	+4	29
6	Valerenga	18	7	5	6	+8	26
7	Kristiansund	19	7	5	7	+3	26
8	Viking	19	7	5	7	-1	26
9	Lillestrom	19	7	4	8	-4	25
10	Haugesund	19	6	6	7	+4	24
11	Tromso	19	6	3	10	-15	21
12	Stabaek	19	5	5	9	-6	20
13	Mjondalen	19	4	8	7	-8	20
14	Ranheim	19	5	4	10	-12	19
15	Sarpsborg 08	18	2	9	7	-6	15
16	Stromsgodset	18	3	4	11	-17	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	10	8	2	0	+10	26
2	Molde	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Rosenborg	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	1	1	+16	22
5	Viking	10	5	3	2	+8	18
6	Valerenga	9	5	2	2	+10	17
7	Kristiansund	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Lillestrom	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Brann	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Stabaek	10	3	5	2	+4	14
11	Mjondalen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
12	Sarpsborg 08	9	2	5	2	+0	11
13	Tromso	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Haugesund	10	2	4	4	+0	10
15	Stromsgodset	9	3	1	5	-6	10
16	Ranheim	9	2	1	6	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	5	2	3	+7	17
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	2	2	-2	17
3	Haugesund	9	4	2	3	+4	14
4	Brann	9	4	2	3	+3	14
5	Ranheim	10	3	3	4	-4	12
6	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-14	10
7	Valerenga	9	2	3	4	-2	9
8	Odd	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Lillestrom	10	2	3	5	-5	9
10	Rosenborg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
11	Kristiansund	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Viking	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-8	7
14	Stabaek	9	2	0	7	-10	6
15	Sarpsborg 08	9	0	4	5	-6	4
16	Stromsgodset	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.