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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Stromsgodset
S S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Tromso
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
32%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Tromso 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 22 14 5 3 +28 47
2 Brann 22 11 7 4 +22 40
3 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 8 4 +8 38
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 +10 37
5 Haugesund 22 10 6 6 +5 36
6 Odd 22 9 5 8 -6 32
7 Sandefjord 22 9 3 10 -4 30
8 Stabaek 22 8 6 8 -7 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 7 8 7 -1 29
10 Lillestrom 22 7 7 8 -2 28
11 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -2 25
12 Valerenga 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Kristiansund 22 5 8 9 -8 23
14 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 -8 23
15 Tromso 22 5 7 10 -12 22
16 Viking 23 3 6 14 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Tromso
1–0 Bassel Jradi
J. Glesnes
1′
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
35′
Marius Hoibraten 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Olsen
↦ M. Bakenga
51′
M. Ingebrigtsen 1–1
G. Åsen
2–1 T. Nguen
Bassel Jradi
60′
66′
🔁 A. Sigurdarson
↦ C. Landu Landu
C. Sivodedov 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
76′
79′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ H. Norbye
P. Engblom 🔁
↦ Marcus Pedersen
82′
M. Hamoud 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
13 C. Sivodedov
9 P. Engblom
2 M. Hamoud
20 P. Heigre
21 M. Gjerstrøm
25 S. Ringstad
66 A. Hoven

Coach: T. Skullerud

Tromso

3-4-3
1 G. Kongshavn G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
25 L. Nilsen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
42 M. Bakenga F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
10 T. Olsen
17 A. Sigurdarson
15 M. Andersen
9 S. Vuk
26 J. Gundersen
40 Javi Jiménez

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.