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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
0%
86%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 23%
17%
29%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
43%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,9
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0 Corners 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 20. · Charleroi 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 7 6 1 0 +10 19
2 Beerschot VA 8 6 0 2 +4 18
3 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
4 Standard 8 5 2 1 +6 17
5 Club Brugge 7 5 0 2 +15 15
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Kortrijk 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Waregem 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Antwerp 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Mechelen 6 3 1 2 +1 10
11 Cercle Brugge 7 3 0 4 +0 9
12 Genk 5 2 2 1 +0 8
13 Eupen 7 1 5 1 -3 8
14 Gent 7 2 0 5 -3 6
15 Oostende 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 St Truiden 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3
18 Waasland-Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
30′
M. Fall 0–1
M. Busi
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Tabekou
47′
62′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ G. Gillet
69′
🟨 Joris Kayembe Ditu
73′
🔁 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
↦ A. Gholizadeh
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
78′
R. Quirynen 🔁
↦ D. Nlandu
81′
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
84′
87′
🔁 K. Nkuba
↦ M. Fall
Deni Hočko 🟨
89′
V. Postolachi 🔁
↦ S. Tabekou
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
2 K. Dabila D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
6 D. Hočko M
30 B. Van Durmen M
39 D. Nlandu M
31 H. Gnohéré F
70 S. Tabekou M
14 I. Faraj F
Bench (7)
18 R. Quirynen
29 B. Badibanga
9 V. Postolachi
10 M. Bakić
21 N. Gillekens
28 E. Sağlık
15 Osvaldo Capemba

Coach: F. Da Cruz

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
5 M. Diagne D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 M. Busi D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
28 K. Nkuba
22 G. Hendrickx
23 S. Willems
40 R. Descamps
6 G. Zajkov

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.