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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Genk

U T T U U

1–2

Full-time

St Truiden

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 35%

42%

28%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

58%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 8. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	19	15	3	1	+34	48
2	Charleroi	19	12	4	3	+17	40
3	Standard	18	11	3	4	+20	36
4	Antwerp	19	10	4	5	+10	34
5	Gent	18	9	5	4	+14	32
6	Waregem	19	9	5	5	+8	32
7	Mechelen	19	9	4	6	+3	31
8	Genk	19	8	5	6	+5	29
9	Anderlecht	18	5	8	5	+1	23
10	Mouscron	17	5	7	5	+1	22
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	5	7	5	+1	22
12	St Truiden	18	5	5	8	-12	20
13	Eupen	19	4	5	10	-17	17
14	Kortrijk	18	4	3	11	-9	15
15	Oostende	18	3	4	11	-16	13
16	Cercle Brugge	19	3	4	12	-22	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	17	2	5	10	-19	11
18	Beveren	17	2	5	10	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Standard	10	8	1	1	+18	25
3	Antwerp	9	8	1	0	+15	25
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+18	24
5	Charleroi	10	7	1	2	+5	22
6	Genk	9	6	1	2	+3	19
7	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Anderlecht	10	3	5	2	+3	14
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Kortrijk	9	3	2	4	+2	11
13	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-2	11
14	Cercle Brugge	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Oostende	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Eupen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Mechelen	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	Charleroi	9	5	3	1	+12	18
4	Waregem	10	4	4	2	+0	16
5	Standard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Genk	10	2	4	4	+2	10
7	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-11	10
8	Anderlecht	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Antwerp	10	2	3	5	-5	9
10	St Truiden	8	3	0	5	-10	9
11	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
12	Mouscron	9	1	4	4	-5	7
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
15	Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-11	4
17	Oostende	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	2	7	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.