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Serie B

Salernitana

U T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

31%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 9

18 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 10. · Ascoli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	14	9	4	1	+12	31
2	Crotone	14	6	4	4	+6	22
3	Pordenone	13	6	4	3	+6	22
4	Cittadella	14	6	4	4	+0	22
5	Chievo	13	5	6	2	+4	21
6	Pescara	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Ascoli	13	6	2	5	+5	20
8	Frosinone	14	5	5	4	+3	20
9	Perugia	13	5	4	4	-3	19
10	Salernitana	13	5	3	5	-1	18
11	Empoli	14	4	6	4	-3	18
12	Pisa	13	4	5	4	+1	17
13	Venezia	14	4	5	5	-2	17
14	Cremonese	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Spezia	14	4	4	6	-1	16
16	Virtus Entella	13	4	4	5	-3	16
17	Juve Stabia	13	4	2	7	-7	14
18	Cosenza	14	2	7	5	-1	13
19	Livorno	14	3	2	9	-7	11
20	Trapani	13	2	4	7	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Frosinone	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Pordenone	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Ascoli	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Crotone	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Empoli	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Chievo	6	3	3	0	+4	12
8	Pescara	7	3	2	2	+5	11
9	Pisa	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Perugia	6	3	2	1	+2	11
11	Virtus Entella	6	3	2	1	+1	11
12	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
14	Juve Stabia	7	3	1	3	-2	10
15	Salernitana	6	2	3	1	+1	9
16	Livorno	7	3	0	4	-1	9
17	Spezia	7	2	2	3	+0	8
18	Cosenza	7	1	4	2	+0	7
19	Venezia	7	2	1	4	-4	7
20	Trapani	6	0	3	3	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+1	12
2	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Venezia	7	2	4	1	+2	10
4	Pescara	6	3	0	3	+0	9
5	Chievo	7	2	3	2	+0	9
6	Salernitana	7	3	0	4	-2	9
7	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Perugia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Crotone	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Trapani	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Cosenza	7	1	3	3	-1	6
12	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Empoli	7	1	3	3	-7	6
15	Pordenone	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Virtus Entella	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Juve Stabia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Frosinone	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Livorno	7	0	2	5	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.