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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

21%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

9 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

21 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 17. · Holstein Kiel 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	8	5	2	+18	29
2	Bielefeld	14	8	5	1	+15	29
3	Stuttgart	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Erzgebirge Aue	14	6	5	3	+3	23
5	Heidenheim	14	5	5	4	+5	20
6	Regensburg	15	5	5	5	+3	20
7	Osnabruck	15	5	5	5	+3	20
8	Karlsruhe	15	4	7	4	-2	19
9	Greuther Furth	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Holstein Kiel	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Sandhausen	14	4	6	4	+0	18
12	Darmstadt	14	4	6	4	-3	18
13	St Pauli	14	3	6	5	-2	15
14	Nurnberg	14	3	6	5	-6	15
15	Bochum	14	2	8	4	-2	14
16	Hannover	14	3	5	6	-9	14
17	Dresden	14	3	3	8	-11	12
18	Wehen	14	2	4	8	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	6	1	0	+15	19
2	Stuttgart	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Erzgebirge Aue	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Osnabruck	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Heidenheim	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Greuther Furth	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Karlsruhe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Sandhausen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	St Pauli	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Darmstadt	6	2	4	0	+3	10
12	Bielefeld	7	2	4	1	+2	10
13	Dresden	7	3	1	3	-1	10
14	Bochum	7	1	6	0	+2	9
15	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-7	7
17	Wehen	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Hannover	7	0	4	3	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Hamburg	8	2	4	2	+3	10
3	Hannover	7	3	1	3	-2	10
4	Regensburg	8	2	3	3	+1	9
5	Holstein Kiel	7	3	0	4	+0	9
6	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
7	Stuttgart	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-6	8
9	Heidenheim	7	1	4	2	-1	7
10	Karlsruhe	8	1	4	3	-6	7
11	Sandhausen	7	1	3	3	-2	6
12	Greuther Furth	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Osnabruck	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	Wehen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Bochum	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	St Pauli	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Dresden	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.