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Pro League
Referee: Wesli De Cremer
Eupen
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Genk
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
20%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 14. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 11 3 0 +28 36
2 Standard 15 10 3 2 +22 33
3 Charleroi 14 8 3 3 +10 27
4 Genk 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Mechelen 15 8 3 4 +5 27
6 Gent 14 7 4 3 +11 25
7 Antwerp 13 7 3 3 +11 24
8 Waregem 14 5 5 4 +4 20
9 Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
11 St Truiden 15 4 5 6 -10 17
12 Anderlecht 15 3 7 5 -1 16
13 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -2 14
14 Eupen 15 3 5 7 -16 14
15 Oostende 14 3 2 9 -13 11
16 Cercle Brugge 15 2 2 11 -22 8
17 Waasland-Beveren 13 1 4 8 -18 7
18 Beveren 13 1 4 8 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Genk
1–0 J. Bolingi
O. Verdon
20′
22′
🟨 Dries Wouters
2–0 Jordi Amat
D. Miličević
22′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Ito
↦ D. Ndongala
58′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ S. Odey
M. Koch 🔁
↦ J. Bolingi
63′
75′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ T. Bongonda
Carlos Embalo 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
77′
Y. Toyokawa 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eupen

4-4-2
1 O. De Wolf G
32 A. Beck D
22 S. Blondelle D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 O. Verdon D
77 D. Miličević M
18 N. Schouterden M
26 J. Cools M
16 O. Ebrahimi M
21 Jon Bautista F
19 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
3 M. Koch
17 Carlos Embalo
20 Y. Toyokawa
30 R. Matthys
9 F. Ciampichetti
11 M. Laurent
66 S. Ezatolahi

Coach: Beñat San José

Genk

4-4-2
28 G. Coucke G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
77 D. Ndongala F
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters D
25 S. Berge M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
15 S. Odey F
Bench (7)
7 J. Ito
10 M. Samatta
23 I. Hagi
2 C. De Norre
26 M. Vandevoordt
6 S. Dewaest
8 B. Heynen

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,17
U
3,64
B
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wesli De Cremer · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.