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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 3. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 11 1 1 +33 34
2 Rangers 13 11 1 1 +30 34
3 Aberdeen 14 7 4 3 +5 25
4 Motherwell 14 7 1 6 -1 22
5 Kilmarnock 14 6 3 5 +0 21
6 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -4 18
7 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -14 14
8 Livingston 14 3 4 7 -7 13
9 Hearts 13 2 5 6 -5 11
10 St Mirren 14 3 2 9 -9 11
11 Hamilton 14 2 5 7 -12 11
12 ST Johnstone 13 2 5 6 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -19 St Mirren – Aberdeen 1–0

Match report

Aberdeen St Mirren
1–0 S. Cosgrove
6′
13′
🟨 Kyle Magennis
23′
J. Obika 1–1
R. Flynn
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. McGinn
R. Hedges
56′
63′
🔁 Í. Durmuş
↦ K. Magennis
S. Logan 🔁
↦ D. Campbell
71′
75′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ S. Foley
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
77′
81′
🟨 Ilkay Durmus
Joe Lewis 🟨
83′
C. Main 🔁
↦ N. McGinn
86′
86′
🔁 J. Morias
↦ T. Andreu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
3 G. Leigh D
5 S. McKenna D
33 Z. Vyner D
10 N. McGinn F
11 R. Hedges M
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell F
21 J. Gallagher F
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (7)
2 S. Logan
18 C. McLennan
9 C. Main
28 J. Wilson
25 B. Anderson
6 M. Devlin
20 T. Černý

Coach: D. McInnes

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 V. Hladký G
6 G. MacKenzie D
2 P. McGinn D
3 C. Waters D
5 S. McLoughlin D
4 S. McGinn M
8 R. Flynn M
16 S. Foley M
10 T. Andreu M
7 K. Magennis M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (7)
11 Í. Durmuş
14 K. McAllister
19 J. Morias
26 D. Lyness
20 C. Cooke
18 D. Mullen
24 C. MacPherson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
3,91
B
6,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.