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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Genk
U S S T S
2–2
Full-time
Antwerp
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
57%
58%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
64%
75%
Both score Ø 70%
57%
83%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 5. · Antwerp 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 10 3 0 +26 33
2 Standard 14 9 3 2 +20 30
3 Charleroi 14 8 3 3 +10 27
4 Mechelen 14 8 3 3 +6 27
5 Genk 14 8 2 4 +9 26
6 Gent 13 7 3 3 +11 24
7 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +11 23
8 Waregem 13 5 5 3 +6 20
9 Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
11 Anderlecht 14 3 6 5 -1 15
12 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -2 14
13 St Truiden 14 3 5 6 -11 14
14 Eupen 15 3 5 7 -16 14
15 Oostende 14 3 2 9 -13 11
16 Cercle Brugge 15 2 2 11 -22 8
17 Beveren 12 1 4 7 -16 7
18 Waasland-Beveren 13 1 4 8 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Antwerp
8′
D. Lamkel Ze 0–1
Buta
33′
🟨 Ivo Rodrigues
45′
🟨 Didier Lamkel Ze
Half-time 0–1
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ J. Uronen
46′
47′
Ivo Rodrigues 0–2
A. De Sart
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ J. Ito
58′
63′
🟨 Alexis De Sart
1–2 M. Samatta
B. Heynen
68′
82′
🟨 Ivo Rodrigues
82′
🟥 Ivo Rodrigues
S. Odey 🔁
↦ D. Ndongala
83′
96′
🔁 M. Hongla
↦ D. Lamkel Ze
2–2 S. Berge
J. Lucumí
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-4-2
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
2 C. De Norre D
33 J. Lucumí D
77 D. Ndongala F
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
10 M. Samatta F
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
4 D. Wouters
27 T. Bongonda
15 S. Odey
23 I. Hagi
26 M. Vandevoordt
17 P. Hrošovský
46 C. Cuesta

Coach: F. Mazzù

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
15 D. Arslanagic D
22 W. Hoedt D
30 Buta D
38 F. Haroun M
25 A. De Sart M
87 K. Mirallas F
70 D. Mbokani F
8 Ivo Rodrigues M
7 D. Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
18 M. Hongla
6 S. Juklerød
39 J. Teunckens
93 Z. Gano
21 D. Batubinsika
11 L. Refaelov
19 K. Miyoshi

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U ✓
3,53
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.