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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
For Sittard
T S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 15. · Groningen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 +37 38
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 8 3 3 +13 27
4 Willem II 15 8 2 5 +2 26
5 Heerenveen 15 6 6 3 +6 24
6 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 +7 23
7 Vitesse 15 7 2 6 +2 23
8 Heracles 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Groningen 14 6 3 5 +3 21
10 Feyenoord 14 5 6 3 +1 21
11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 5 4 6 -4 19
12 Twente 14 5 3 6 -2 18
13 FC Emmen 14 4 2 8 -12 14
14 Zwolle 14 4 1 9 -11 13
15 For Sittard 14 3 3 8 -16 12
16 VVV Venlo 14 4 0 10 -24 12
17 Den Haag 14 3 2 9 -9 11
18 Waalwijk 14 1 2 11 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Groningen
40′
🟨 Mike te Wierik
Alejandro Carbonell 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
B. Sambou 🔁
↦ V. Damaşcan
69′
R. Karjalainen 🔁
↦ J. Smeets
71′
73′
🔁 C. Benschop
↦ K. Sierhuis
1–0 R. Karjalainen
78′
79′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ M. te Wierik
79′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ J. Asoro
G. Amiot 🔁
↦ Álex Carbonell
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-4-2
77 A. Koşelev G
2 M. Angha D
4 B. Ňinaj D
15 F. Passlack M
12 C. Essers D
35 G. Cox D
10 M. Diemers F
14 T. Tekie M
8 Álex Carbonell M
6 J. Smeets M
99 V. Damaşcan F
Bench (9)
9 B. Sambou
7 R. Karjalainen
5 G. Amiot
22 A. Ugur
24 N. El Ablak
29 P. Raitanen
28 A. Jug
27 R. Koot
70 J. Donkor

Coach: S. Ultee

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević M
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
17 K. Itakura D
23 A. Hrustic M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
11 J. Asoro F
9 K. Sierhuis F
14 M. El Hankouri M
Bench (10)
35 C. Benschop
15 G. Gudmundsson
10 R. Lundqvist
8 S. Schreck
32 M. van Duin
6 A. Matusiwa
16 J. Hoekstra
20 A. Absalem
26 D. van Kaam
3 B. van Hintum

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,70
U
3,76
B
1,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.