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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

Motherwell

T S S T T

4–0

Full-time

ST Johnstone

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell ST Johnstone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 33%

50%

15%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

71%

54%

Both score Ø 56%

57%

54%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 4

15 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	11	1	1	+33	34
2	Rangers	13	11	1	1	+30	34
3	Aberdeen	14	7	4	3	+5	25
4	Motherwell	14	7	1	6	-1	22
5	Kilmarnock	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hibernian	14	4	6	4	-4	18
7	Ross County	14	3	5	6	-14	14
8	Livingston	14	3	4	7	-7	13
9	Hearts	13	2	5	6	-5	11
10	St Mirren	14	3	2	9	-9	11
11	Hamilton	14	2	5	7	-12	11
12	ST Johnstone	13	2	5	6	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	7	0	0	+25	21
2	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+16	15
3	Kilmarnock	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Motherwell	7	4	0	3	+0	12
5	Aberdeen	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	St Mirren	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Hibernian	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Livingston	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Hamilton	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	ST Johnstone	8	2	2	4	-7	8
11	Ross County	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Hearts	6	1	3	2	+1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	7	6	1	0	+14	19
2	Aberdeen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Celtic	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Motherwell	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Hibernian	7	2	2	3	-6	8
6	Ross County	8	1	4	3	-9	7
7	Kilmarnock	6	2	0	4	-6	6
8	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-6	5
9	Hearts	7	1	2	4	-6	5
10	Hamilton	6	0	3	3	-9	3
11	ST Johnstone	5	0	3	2	-9	3
12	St Mirren	7	0	0	7	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.