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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Genk
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
0,0
Scored
4,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 4. · St Truiden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Cercle Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Genk 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Charleroi 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Oostende 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Waregem 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Gent 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 St Truiden 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lokeren 2 0 0 2 -5 0
16 Eupen 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk St Truiden
18′
🟨 Takehiro Tomiyasu
40′
🟨 Samuel Asamoah
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 Christian Ceballos
↦ Jonathan Legear
Zinho Gano 🔁
↦ Mbwana Samatta
60′
1–0 Ruslan Malinovskyi
68′
69′
🔁 Wataru Endo
↦ Roman Bezus
72′
Wataru Endo 1–1
Yohan Boli
Edon Zhegrova 🔁
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
73′
84′
🟨 Kenny Steppe
85′
🟨 Jorge Teixeira
Bojan Nastić 🔁
↦ Joakim Maehle
85′
89′
🟨 Yohan Boli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
45 Joseph Aidoo D
21 Jere Uronen D
25 Sander Berge M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
14 Leandro Trossard F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
Bench (7)
30 Nordin Jackers
3 Bojan Nastić
33 Jhon Lucumi
28 Bryan Heynen
15 Ibrahima Seck
8 Edon Zhegrova
93 Zinho Gano

Coach: P. Clement

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
1 Kenny Steppe G
7 Jordan Botaka F
26 Jorge Teixeira D
3 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
24 Casper De Norre D
6 Steven De Petter M
5 Alexis De Sart M
27 Jonathan Legear F
10 Roman Bezus M
12 Samuel Asamoah M
11 Yohan Boli F
Bench (8)
21 Lucas Pirard
33 Wataru Endo
20 Samy Mmaee
4 Pol García
19 Christian Ceballos
14 Alexandre De Bruyn
22 Wolke Janssens
29 Elton Acolatse

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.