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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hibernian
U U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
79%
36%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 6. · Kilmarnock 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 11 1 1 +33 34
2 Rangers 13 11 1 1 +30 34
3 Aberdeen 14 7 4 3 +5 25
4 Motherwell 14 7 1 6 -1 22
5 Kilmarnock 14 6 3 5 +0 21
6 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -4 18
7 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -14 14
8 Livingston 14 3 4 7 -7 13
9 Hearts 13 2 5 6 -5 11
10 St Mirren 14 3 2 9 -9 11
11 Hamilton 14 2 5 7 -12 11
12 ST Johnstone 13 2 5 6 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
1–0 C. Doidge
S. Allan
19′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. Naismith
V. Slivka
47′
51′
🟨 Alan Power
60′
🔁 S. Jackson
↦ O. Sow
61′
🔁 L. Millar
↦ R. McKenzie
S. Mallan 🔁
↦ S. Allan
65′
66′
A. Bruce 2–1
M. Boyle 🔁
↦ F. Kamberi
71′
D. Horgan 🔁
↦ J. Newell
77′
79′
🔁 D. Thomas
↦ M. El Makrini
Melker Hallberg 🟨
90′
93′
D. Del Fabro 2–2
S. O'Donnell
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-3-2
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Naismith D
25 R. Porteous D
23 S. Allan M
11 J. Newell M
20 M. Hallberg D
8 V. Slivka M
9 C. Doidge F
22 F. Kamberi F
Bench (7)
14 S. Mallan
10 M. Boyle
7 D. Horgan
1 O. Marciano
18 A. Jackson
32 O. Shaw
17 T. James

Coach: J. Ross

Kilmarnock

4-3-3
12 L. Brănescu G
4 A. Bruce D
2 S. O'Donnell D
26 D. Del Fabro D
14 N. Hamalainen D
29 C. Burke M
15 M. El Makrini M
6 A. Power M
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie F
28 O. Sow F
Bench (7)
16 S. Jackson
11 L. Millar
23 D. Thomas
3 S. Hendrie
20 I. Wilson
24 J. Koprivec
5 C. Johnson

Coach: A. Alessio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,34
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.