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Pro League
Mouscron
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Genk
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 7
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mouscron 10. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 3 1 +32 42
2 Standard 18 11 3 4 +20 36
3 Gent 17 9 4 4 +14 31
4 Charleroi 16 9 4 3 +11 31
5 Mechelen 17 9 4 4 +6 31
6 Antwerp 17 9 3 5 +9 30
7 Genk 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Waregem 17 7 5 5 +5 26
9 Anderlecht 17 5 7 5 +1 22
10 Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
12 St Truiden 17 5 5 7 -10 20
13 Eupen 18 4 5 9 -16 17
14 Kortrijk 17 4 2 11 -9 14
15 Oostende 18 3 4 11 -16 13
16 Cercle Brugge 18 3 3 12 -22 12
17 Waasland-Beveren 16 2 5 9 -17 11
18 Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -19 Genk – Mouscron 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U ✓
3,47
B
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.