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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Barnsley
T U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Hull
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 23%
6%
39%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 24. · Hull 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 18 11 6 1 +16 39
2 Leeds 18 11 4 3 +14 37
3 Fulham 18 10 4 4 +12 34
4 Nott'm Forest 17 9 5 3 +11 32
5 Preston 18 9 4 5 +9 31
6 Swansea 18 8 6 4 +7 30
7 Sheffield Weds 19 8 5 6 +8 29
8 Bristol City 18 7 8 3 +1 29
9 Hull 18 7 5 6 +6 26
10 Millwall 18 6 7 5 -2 25
11 Brentford 17 7 3 7 +5 24
12 Cardiff 17 6 6 5 +1 24
13 Blackburn 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Derby 18 6 6 6 -5 24
15 Birmingham 18 7 3 8 -5 24
16 QPR 18 7 3 8 -9 24
17 Charlton 19 6 5 8 +0 23
18 Reading 17 5 3 9 -3 18
19 Huddersfield 18 4 6 8 -6 18
20 Middlesbrough 18 3 8 7 -7 17
21 Luton 18 5 2 11 -8 17
22 Wigan 18 4 4 10 -12 16
23 Stoke 18 4 2 12 -12 14
24 Barnsley 18 1 6 11 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Hull
1–0 A. Mowatt
M. Bähre
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Leonardo Lopes
↦ G. Honeyman
46′
🔁 T. Eaves
↦ D. Batty
60′
🟨 Reece Burke
2–0 M. Bähre
A. Mowatt
75′
76′
🔁 K. Lewis-Potter
↦ C. Elder
81′
K. Lewis-Potter 2–1
T. Eaves
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Bähre
82′
P. Schmidt 🔁
↦ C. Woodrow
89′
3–1 C. Chaplin
J. Brown
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-3-1-2
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
24 A. Halme M
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams D
3 B. Williams D
5 Bambo Diaby D
10 M. Bähre M
27 A. Mowatt M
9 C. Woodrow M
11 C. Chaplin F
7 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
16 L. Thomas
19 P. Schmidt
4 K. Dougall
26 M. Thiam
22 C. Oduor
21 T. Sibbick
40 B. Collins

Coach: A. Murray

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 G. Long G
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
26 C. Elder D
36 J. Irvine M
18 G. Honeyman F
19 J. Bowler M
8 D. Batty M
11 K. Grosicki M
20 J. Bowen F
Bench (7)
37 Leonardo Lopes
9 T. Eaves
31 K. Lewis-Potter
23 S. Kingsley
3 R. Tafazolli
25 M. Pennington
13 M. Ingram

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,72
U
3,65
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.