La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Eibar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +19 | 28 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | +7 | 25 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 23 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |
Granada
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |
Levante
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +0 | 20 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 |
Betis
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 19 |
Espanol
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |
Leganes
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
Aritz Elustondo
D
Diego Llorente
D
Martin Ødegaard
M
Igor Zubeldia
M
Mikel Merino
M
Portu
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Marko Dmitrović
G
Coach: Mendilibar
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Leganes
Granada
Sociedad
Sociedad
Levante
Celta
Sociedad
Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.