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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U S U

2–2

Full-time

Genk

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 15/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

53%

61%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Corners 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 11. · Genk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	13	3	1	+32	42
2	Standard	18	11	3	4	+20	36
3	Gent	17	9	4	4	+14	31
4	Charleroi	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Mechelen	18	9	4	5	+4	31
6	Antwerp	17	9	3	5	+9	30
7	Waregem	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Genk	18	8	4	6	+5	28
9	Mouscron	16	5	7	4	+2	22
10	Anderlecht	17	5	7	5	+1	22
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	5	6	4	+2	21
12	St Truiden	17	5	5	7	-10	20
13	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-16	17
14	Kortrijk	17	4	2	11	-9	14
15	Oostende	18	3	4	11	-16	13
16	Cercle Brugge	19	3	4	12	-22	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	16	2	5	9	-17	11
18	Beveren	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	10	8	1	1	+18	25
2	Gent	8	8	0	0	+19	24
3	Antwerp	8	7	1	0	+14	22
4	Genk	9	6	1	2	+3	19
5	Club Brugge	8	5	3	0	+16	18
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+1	16
7	Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	4	2	1	+6	14
9	Waregem	8	4	1	3	+7	13
10	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+3	13
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Kortrijk	9	3	2	4	+2	11
13	St Truiden	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Cercle Brugge	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Oostende	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Eupen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Mechelen	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	Waregem	10	4	4	2	+0	16
4	Charleroi	8	4	3	1	+10	15
5	Standard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Eupen	9	3	1	5	-10	10
7	Genk	9	2	3	4	+2	9
8	Anderlecht	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	St Truiden	8	3	0	5	-10	9
10	Antwerp	9	2	2	5	-5	8
11	Mouscron	8	1	4	3	-4	7
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Oostende	9	1	1	7	-12	4
17	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-11	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	2	7	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.