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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schörgenhofer

Tirol

T S T T T

1–5

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

20%

47%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

2,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 9. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	12	3	0	+44	39
2	LASK	15	12	2	1	+23	38
3	Wolfsberger AC	15	9	3	3	+21	30
4	SK Rapid	15	7	4	4	+10	25
5	Sturm Graz	15	7	3	5	+7	24
6	Hartberg	15	7	3	5	+0	24
7	Austria Vienna	15	4	4	7	-8	16
8	St. Polten	15	3	5	7	-22	14
9	Tirol	15	3	3	9	-17	12
10	Altach	15	3	1	11	-14	10
11	Admira	15	2	4	9	-19	10
12	Mattersburg	15	3	1	11	-25	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	7	1	0	+26	22
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	2	2	+11	14
3	LASK	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Hartberg	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Austria Vienna	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	SK Rapid	8	2	3	3	+2	9
8	Altach	8	2	1	5	-3	7
9	Admira	7	1	2	4	-5	5
10	St. Polten	7	1	2	4	-11	5
11	Tirol	7	1	1	5	-11	4
12	Mattersburg	8	1	1	6	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	8	8	0	0	+14	24
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	SK Rapid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	St. Polten	8	2	3	3	-11	9
8	Tirol	8	2	2	4	-6	8
9	Austria Vienna	8	1	3	4	-6	6
10	Mattersburg	7	2	0	5	-12	6
11	Admira	8	1	2	5	-14	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.