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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
St Truiden
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
5,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
6 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Genk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
2 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 4 1 1 +2 13
3 St Truiden 6 4 1 1 +2 13
4 Antwerp 7 3 3 1 +1 12
5 Waregem 6 3 1 2 +9 10
6 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
7 Beveren 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Kortrijk 7 2 3 2 +0 9
9 Anderlecht 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Genk 3 2 1 0 +3 7
11 Lokeren 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 Mechelen 7 0 4 3 -4 4
13 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -14 3
14 Gent 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Genk
Steven De Petter 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Alexis De Sart 🟨
48′
Sascha Kotysch 🟨
60′
J. Botaka 🔁
↦ Vetokele
68′
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ J. Legear
68′
73′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ T. Buffel
73′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ M. Ingvartsen
Charis Charisis 🟨
75′
78′
🟨 Sander Berge
1–0 R. Bezus
79′
D. Dussaut 🔁
↦ C. De Norre
81′
2–0 D. Dussaut
83′
86′
🟨 Alejandro Pozuelo
88′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ R. Malinovskiy
88′
S. Schrijvers 2–1
Roman Bezus 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
15 S. Kitsiou D
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre M
5 A. De Sart M
14 Vetokele F
11 Y. Boli F
Bench (7)
7 J. Botaka
10 R. Bezus
20 D. Dussaut
1 K. Steppe
12 S. Asamoah
25 K. Abrahams
28 D. Goutas

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Genk

4-3-3
1 D. Vuković G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
25 S. Berge M
31 J. Mæhle M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (7)
8 E. Zhegrova
10 M. Samatta
28 B. Heynen
5 A. Khammas
27 Clinton Mata
30 N. Jackers
45 J. Aidoo

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.