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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Valencia

T U S S T

2–1

Full-time

Villarreal

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

43%

79%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 24

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 10. · Villarreal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+19	28
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+4	27
4	Sociedad	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+7	25
6	Ath Bilbao	14	6	5	3	+6	23
7	Getafe	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Granada	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Levante	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Osasuna	14	4	7	3	+2	19
12	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
13	Villarreal	14	5	3	6	+5	18
14	Alaves	15	5	3	7	-3	18
15	Valladolid	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Mallorca	15	4	2	9	-9	14
18	Celta	15	3	4	8	-10	13
19	Espanol	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Leganes	14	1	3	10	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+8	13
10	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
11	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
12	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+7	12
13	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
14	Getafe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
15	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
16	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+4	9
17	Eibar	7	3	0	4	-6	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+1	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
4	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
8	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Osasuna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Villarreal	7	2	0	5	-2	6
14	Levante	7	2	0	5	-4	6
15	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Celta	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Betis	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.