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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Famalicao
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Benfica
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
20%
80%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
1,4
3,2
Scored
0,2
2,6
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
4 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 16. · Benfica 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Sp Braga 5 4 1 0 +15 13
3 Porto 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Portimonense 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Guimaraes 6 3 0 3 +0 9
6 Boavista 5 3 0 2 -2 9
7 Chaves 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Casa Pia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Estoril 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Sp Lisbon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Arouca 5 2 1 2 -8 7
12 Vizela 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Rio Ave 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Gil Vicente 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Santa Clara 6 1 1 4 -3 4
16 Famalicao 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 0 5 -9 0
18 Maritimo 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Benfica
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ J. Draxler
J. Kadile 🔁
↦ Francisco Moura
56′
63′
Rafa 0–1
Álex Grimaldo
64′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ David Neres
65′
🔁 Rodrigo Pinho
↦ P. Musa
65′
🔁 A. Bah
↦ Gilberto
Pedro Brazão 🔁
↦ Pelé
74′
Rui Fonte 🔁
↦ Álex Millán
74′
J. Cádiz 🔁
↦ H. De La Fuente
82′
Gustavo Sá 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
82′
85′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ E. Fernández
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
93′
Gustavo Sá 🟨
95′
Ivo Rodrigues 🟥
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
31 Luíz Júnior G
22 H. De La Fuente D
15 Riccieli D
4 E. Mihaj D
5 Rúben Lima D
28 Z. Youssouf M
25 Pelé M
7 Ivo Rodrigues M
97 S. Colombatto M
74 Francisco Moura M
9 Álex Millán F
Bench (9)
14 J. Kadile
11 Pedro Brazão
17 Rui Fonte
29 J. Cádiz
20 Gustavo Sá
8 André Simões
6 Alexandre Penetra
13 Dalberson
95 Théo Fonseca

Coach: Rui Pedro Silva

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
13 E. Fernández M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
93 J. Draxler M
33 P. Musa F
Bench (9)
17 Diogo Gonçalves
22 Chiquinho
18 Rodrigo Pinho
6 A. Bah
8 F. Aursnes
23 M. Ristić
77 Helton Leite
25 J. Brooks
39 Henrique Araújo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,45
U
4,63
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.